Kenya will in the few days ahead go into history making general elections. I would arguably say that it would be history because it would be under a much celebrated constitution in the Kenya situation. This is the time a politician would do anything possible to attract admiration from the electorate. This would include a lot promises that tend to have their way into the dustbin immediately after elections. Kenya celebrates her jubilee year having achieved little.
Kenya has got her bigger share of ethnic bigotry, nepotism and corruption among others just to mention a few of the vices.
The two leading coalitions have launched their manifestos recently each side promising a better Kenya. The leading principals in both of the alliances have one thing in common; both were born-of-royal families. True to the word they are beneficiaries of public loot. Their running-mates have always argued to have hailed from very poor backgrounds, which all of us are indifference, today they are millionaires. There is no absolute synergy in what these persons purport to do for Kenyans.
Without being biased may I single out some nudging promises by the Jubilees Alliance:
1. Free laptops to all pupils joining Class One. This is estimated to be about 0.8M. Suppose we use the current market price of a solar-powered laptop that cost approximately, Kshs.33,000.00 ($380.000). A rough estimate translates to about Kshs. 264 Billion without factoring in any other cost.The human resource is also insufficient in regard to pupil-teacher ratio.
2 . Free port
Having a free port is something that I would need to have the economic custodians within the Jubilee Alliance point by point help me decipher. So, it means with a free port we shall have a relaxed jurisdiction. I foresee entry of smuggled goods into Kenya owing to the much pampered corruption which is an accepted norm in Kenya. Would this lead to free economic zones. I would leave that for the economists to argue out. What about political autonomy?
3 . Interest free loans for the youths and women groups.
Kenya has had a first trillion-budget the financial year 2012-2013. With the devolution government coming into place I should expect the recurrent expenditure to increase significantly. With the CDF substituting the youth and women grants which accounts to about 25 percent of our national budget. “In the year 2012/2013 budget for example, out of the estimates total budget of 1.45 Trillion Kenya shillings, only 451.7 billion was allocated for development purposes. From the figures, it is apparent that the recurrent expenditure enjoys the lion’s share of the national budget.”
4. Further, Jubilee promises 100,000 tractors to farmers. I hope before Jubilee promises all these tractors they would at first handle the myriad of challenges facing both small and large-scale farmers. In the recent times when we had bumper harvests much of the produce got wasted due to lack of a better market and most modern preservation facilities.
A tractor (the newholland) whose year of manufacture is 2007 will cost between $23,000.00 and $30,000.00 in a Kenya market.
So, this will translate to…. 100,000 x $25,000.00 x 87 = Kshs. 2.175 Trillion I wish Jubilee alliance could have given their manifesto an aspect of being reasonable.
5. Free Milk
During Moi regime at some point pupils enjoyed themselves with the so-called “maziwa ya Nyayo..”
Currently I would damn doubt how the Jubilee government intends; on condition they win the election, supply the milk.
The market has faced a shortage of milk bearing in mind Kenya is hard hit by droughts occasionally. This at some point time led to milk rationing.
The prices of milk tend to change periodically and wonder how Uhuru-Ruto government intends to bank-roll such a huge budget.